美国亚马逊运动服饰榜单追踪 Amazon US Best Sellers · Top 100

深度分析

2026-10-23 · 共 16 个分析，16 个已激活 （数据够天数后自动上线，由每日自我改进循环接管）

选择日期： 11-0511-0411-0311-0211-0110-3110-3010-2910-2810-2710-2610-2510-2410-23
类目集中度 22 天价格与排名关系 22 天评分格局 22 天标题与卖点情报 22 天类目热度指数 22 天评论增速（销量代理） 22 天异常检测 22 天品牌攻防 22 天价格带迁移 22 天机会缺口 22 天排名动量 22 天预测与自校验 22 天listing 运营因子 22 天定价心理 22 天类目货架结构 22 天销量估算模型（自校准） 22 天

结构面

类目集中度CR4/CR10/HHI：这个类目是几个大牌说了算，还是散兵游勇

Competitive Swimwear
734
CR4 44% · 样本 100
Tennis Clothing
526
CR4 37% · 样本 100
Volleyball Clothing
412
CR4 30% · 样本 100
Martial Arts Clothing
410
CR4 32% · 样本 100
集中度差异在已识别品牌的商品中，Competitive Swimwear 最集中（HHI 734，前 4 名品牌占 44%，样本 100 个）；Running Clothing 最分散（HHI 168，样本 100 个）。集中度高 = 新玩家难切，分散 = 长尾机会多。
口径与样本集中度只统计**已采集到品牌**的排名位（各类目平均覆盖 100%），未采集到品牌的位置不参与计算——否则等于凭空造出一个占最大份额的「未知品牌」，HHI 会虚高。详情层每天按排名补齐，覆盖率会随天数上升。

HHI（越高越集中）

Competitive Swimwear734Tennis Clothing526Volleyball Clothing412Martial Arts Clothin410Golf Clothing402Gymnastics Clothing350Soccer & Futsal 348Cycling Clothing276Yoga Clothing274Dance Apparel264Ski Clothing244Basketball Clothing236Hiking & Outdoor202Baseball Clothing194Snowboarding Clothin190Running Clothing168

各类目集中度（按 HHI 降序，仅计已识别品牌）

分类品牌数CR4CR10HHI样本品牌覆盖
Competitive Swimwear4044%66%734100100%
Tennis Clothing5337%51%526100100%
Volleyball Clothing5030%51%412100100%
Martial Arts Clothing5332%52%410100100%
Golf Clothing5933%45%402100100%
Gymnastics Clothing5427%46%350100100%
Soccer & Futsal Clothing5827%46%348100100%
Cycling Clothing6424%40%276100100%
Yoga Clothing6725%39%274100100%
Dance Apparel6421%36%264100100%
Ski Clothing6819%32%244100100%
Basketball Clothing6621%37%236100100%
Hiking & Outdoor Recreation Clothing7319%32%202100100%
Baseball Clothing7216%32%194100100%
Snowboarding Clothing7116%31%190100100%
Running Clothing7413%27%168100100%

价格与排名关系同一类目里，便宜是不是真的更靠前（Spearman 秩相关 + 十分位价格）

价格敏感类目（便宜的名次更好）3 个类目呈明显正相关：价格越低名次越好，典型是 Basketball Clothing（ρ=+0.26）——这类目里低价走量是有效打法。
头尾价格对比前 10 名的中位价 $14.99，第 91-100 名 $17.38（头部更便宜）。

按排名分位的价格中位数

第1-10名15第11-20名14第21-30名15第31-40名15第41-50名15第51-60名18第61-70名15第71-80名18第81-90名18第91-100名17

各类目价格-排名秩相关（负=越贵名次越好，正=越便宜名次越好）

分类ρ中位价样本解读
Martial Arts Clothing-0.1429.09100关系不明显
Volleyball Clothing-0.1223.49100关系不明显
Yoga Clothing+0.0316.99100关系不明显
Ski Clothing+0.0414.9799关系不明显
Gymnastics Clothing+0.0714.98100关系不明显
Hiking & Outdoor Recreation Clothing+0.0914.99100关系不明显
Tennis Clothing+0.1214.99100关系不明显
Soccer & Futsal Clothing+0.1318.34100关系不明显
Dance Apparel+0.1712.98100关系不明显
Golf Clothing+0.1714.99100关系不明显
Snowboarding Clothing+0.179.99100关系不明显
Running Clothing+0.1814.99100关系不明显
Competitive Swimwear+0.1829.82100关系不明显
Cycling Clothing+0.2412.99100便宜更靠前
Baseball Clothing+0.2614.99100便宜更靠前
Basketball Clothing+0.2618.8799便宜更靠前

评分格局哪些商品叫好不叫座，哪些评分一般却排名很高

高评分但靠后
375
评分≥4.5 且排名>50
低评分却靠前
39
评分<4.3 且排名≤20
叫好不叫座375 个商品评分 ≥4.5 却排在后 50 名，中位价 $16.99、中位评论数 1,673 —— 评分高但评论量/曝光不足，是差异化选品的候选池。
评分一般但卖得好39 个商品评分 <4.3 却进了前 20，靠的是品牌、价格或评论基数（中位评论数 1,331）。
评分与排名基本脱钩前 10 名中位评分 4.40，第 91-100 名 4.40，差距很小 —— 在这个类目里评分是门槛不是武器。

各排名段的评分中位数（×100）

第1-10名4.4第11-20名4.4第21-30名4.4第31-40名4.4第41-50名4.5第51-60名4.4第61-70名4.4第71-80名4.4第81-90名4.5第91-100名4.4

叫好不叫座 Top20（评分高、位置低）

商品分类排名评分价格评论数
Women Ruffle Bloomers Shorts Micro Mesh Y2K Lace LayeredDance Apparel664.919.9917
MdnMd Girls Dance Ballet Leotards Dresses for Toddler BaDance Apparel994.912.98471
Stelle Ballet Leotards for Girls Long Sleeve Gymnastics Gymnastics Clothing584.916.9935
3T to Youth Kids Long Sleeve Neon Shirt Rash Guard UPF 5Competitive Swimwear744.99.9938
Marvel Spider-Man Baseball Cap for Boys, 3D Adjustable KBaseball Clothing884.817.994,051
MdnMd Girls Classic Long Sleeve Leotard for Ballet DanceDance Apparel544.814.981,117
DIPUG Girls Ballet Leotards Toddler Shiny Dance Leotard Dance Apparel654.811.031,080
HOZIY Gymnastics Leotards for Girls Unicorn Aurora RainbDance Apparel854.89.4918,150
Zaclotre Gymnastics Leotards for Girls Long Sleeve BalleDance Apparel864.811.99477
Stelle Ballet Leotards for Girls Short Sleeve GymnasticsDance Apparel884.817.99343
Domusgo Girls Gymnastics Leotards Long Sleeve Bodysuits Dance Apparel894.89.991,173
Zaclotre Girls Long Sleeve Leotard for Ballet Dance GymnDance Apparel914.812.9954
Carhartt mens Canvas CapGolf Clothing904.832.9911,395
rainbowsnow Girls Long Sleeve Full Body Leotard for GymnGymnastics Clothing554.819.9927
TFJH E Gymnastics Leotards for Girls Sequin Mesh 3/4 SleGymnastics Clothing784.814.993,349
Tziharora Girls Gymnastics Leotards 2 Pack Sparkly SleevGymnastics Clothing804.814.99294
Arshiner Gymnastics Leotards for Girls Long Sleeve 4-PieGymnastics Clothing854.89.9933
DIPUG Girls Ballet Leotards Toddler Shiny Dance Leotard Gymnastics Clothing884.815.981,080
Tziharora Long Sleeve Gymnastics Leotards for Girls withGymnastics Clothing904.89.99180
Nokecina Gymnastics Leotards for Girls Sparkly Long SleeGymnastics Clothing964.89.99365

标题与卖点情报从标题里提炼属性词，看什么属性更容易上榜、卖什么价

上榜最多的卖点词高腰（190 个排名位，中位价 $14.99，中位排名 42）、袜子（44 个排名位，中位价 $14.43，中位排名 42）、压缩（68 个排名位，中位价 $19.99，中位排名 44）。
低于均价且排名更好的属性袜子、纯棉、防晒 —— 这些属性在榜单里更偏「性价比」定位。
能卖更贵且排名更好娇小、高个、高腰、压缩、口袋、透气/网眼 —— 溢价属性，适合做高价款。

标题高频词

workout476sleeve462athletic453running397shorts388long384soft341shirts330pants319pockets301lightweight301casual291yoga259quick259tops259men's257winter256women's232

属性词表现（按中位排名排序，越低越好）

全站基准：中位价 $14.99，中位排名 50。出现少于 8 次的属性不列出。

属性排名位中位价中位排名平均评分最好名次价格 vs 全站排名 vs 全站
娇小1633.9529.54.35+18.96-21
高个1919.99334.461+5.00-18
高腰19014.9942.54.371+0.00-8
袜子4414.4342.54.551-0.56-8
压缩6819.9944.04.482+5.00-6
纯棉9512.69464.413-2.30-4
口袋32819.9946.04.381+5.00-4
防晒13212.4846.54.451-2.51-4
透气/网眼24514.99484.491+0.00-2
短裤37114.99484.441+0.00-2
紧身裤8015.4948.54.441+0.50-2
聚酯纤维1518.99494.4711+4.00-2
弹力/氨纶18717.99494.442+3.00-2
男士55514.99504.481+0.00-0
女士89014.9950.04.381+0.00-0
宽松16719.99504.351+5.00-0
多件装20919.99514.461+5.00+0
速干36714.96514.462-0.03+0
卫衣17723.99514.341+9.00+0
保暖/抓绒20918.27534.461+3.28+2
拉链17325.99534.391+11.00+2
T恤9014.9955.54.55+0.00+5
无缝2324.99574.4213+10.00+6
儿童/青少年21913.99594.581-1.00+8
背心2311.99654.3929-3.00+14
羊毛/美利奴1610.4971.04.511-4.50+20
大码1313.30714.292-1.69+20

listing 运营因子视频/A+/图片/变体/尺码/颜色/卖点/上架时间/卖家类型，哪些和排名有关系

详情样本
1052
个不同 ASIN（1600 行去重后）
有视频
22%
236 个
图片中位数
6.0
张
上架天数中位
843
可解析 763 个
排名差最大的因子颜色可选数 上差异最明显：颜色多的一组中位排名 39（447 个），颜色少的一组 53（507 个），差 -14 名；中位价 $16.99 vs $17.41。其余依次是 变体数量 -9、上架时间 -8、尺码可选数 -7。
差异太小，别过度解读8 个能比的因子里，中位排名差最大也只有 14 名，而样本的排名区间横跨 1-100 名。方向还自相矛盾：颜色可选数 更便宜的一组中位价低 $0.42、排名靠前 14 名；图片数量 更便宜的一组（低 $4.44）排名却反而靠后 3 名。同一个「更便宜」的分组给出相反的排名结果，说明单日数据下这些 2-3 名的差距基本落在噪声里；要下结论得等详情覆盖率上来、并且控制住类目和价格再算。另一头倒是有个符合直觉的：上架时间 里「有」的一组中位价贵 $3.49、排名靠前 8 名，像是高配撑溢价。
A+ 字段没有采到，本项无结论详情层 1052 个商品的 has_aplus 全是 0 —— 更可能是详情解析没识别出 A+ 模块，而不是「这个榜单上没人做 A+」。所以 A+ 已从对比里剔除，等采集口径修好再算，不能反推 A+ 无效。
样本不足被剔除的因子A+ 页面（0 vs 954） —— 一组不足 8 个样本，中位数不可靠，已跳过。
这是相关性，不是因果样本是 1052 个已采集详情的商品（对应 1600 个排名位、共 1600 个），只有一个日期，没有对照组也没有时间先后。卖得好的商品更可能去配视频、加图片、开变体 —— 方向更可能是「排名高 → 运营投入多」，不能读成「加个视频就能上榜」。再者这份样本偏头部：有详情的排名位平均第 50 名，没详情的平均第 0 名（详情层按排名从上往下补采），所以结论只对头部商品成立，不能外推到 50 名以后。上架时间可解析 763/1052 个（其余格式不符已跳过），卖家可识别 723/1052 个；字段覆盖率见下表 n 列。

「有/高」一组的商品数（越大越常见）

颜色可选数447变体数量450上架时间381尺码可选数475卖家类型71卖点条数64视频236图片数量109

运营因子「有 vs 无」对比（按排名差升序，负=有该因子更靠前）

样本：1052 个已采集详情的商品（同一 ASIN 跨类目只计一次）。连续型因子按中位数切两半，差值为 0 说明两组位置基本一样。排名差为负 = 「有/高」那一组排名更靠前。

因子分组商品数中位排名中位价平均评分排名差(有-无)
颜色可选数（中位 15）颜色多4473916.994.43-14
颜色少5075317.414.43—
变体数量（中位 20）多变体45043.016.994.43-9
少变体50452.016.994.43—
上架时间（中位 843）上架久（>中位）3814318.484.46-8
上架新（≤中位）38251.514.994.41—
尺码可选数（中位 5）尺码多4754419.994.44-7
尺码少4795114.994.42—
卖家类型Amazon 自营714325.004.46-6
第三方卖家65249.516.194.44—
卖点条数（中位 5）卖点多6442.520.654.41-6
卖点少89048.516.994.43—
视频有视频23643.518.434.39-6
无视频71849.016.994.44—
图片数量（中位 6）多图（>中位）1094813.294.43+3
少图（≤中位）7574517.734.44—

定价心理价格尾数 .99/.95/.49/整数 各占什么位置，折扣力度和评分数量的关系

定价心理 计算失败TypeError: unsupported format string passed to NoneType.__format__

类目货架结构各类目的价格分布、材质与性别构成、视频/图片配置，找货架还空着的类目

Dance Apparel
12.98
中位价 · 视频覆盖 12% · 空白度 93
Gymnastics Clothing
14.98
中位价 · 视频覆盖 13% · 空白度 84
Snowboarding Clothing
9.99
中位价 · 视频覆盖 8% · 空白度 76
Running Clothing
14.99
中位价 · 视频覆盖 22% · 空白度 67
货架最空的类目Dance Apparel（空白度 93）：100 个详情样本里只有 12% 带视频，价格带 P25-P75 只跨 $9.99~$16.99（0.54 倍中位价），说明货架主要集中在同一种价位和同一种配置上。同类目还有 Gymnastics Clothing（84）、Snowboarding Clothing（76）。
已经卷起来的类目Soccer & Futsal Clothing（空白度 20）视频覆盖率 36%（100 个详情样本），价格也铺得开 —— 这类目基本要靠内容和价格同时到位才挤得进去，不适合轻装上阵。
A+ 比例这一列现在是废的全部 16 个类目的 A+ 比例都是 0% —— 与 listing 运营因子一致，是详情解析没识别出 A+ 模块，不是真的没人做。这一列暂时不能用来判断货架配置。
口径与局限价格四分位来自榜单层（价格覆盖近 100%），每个类目 100 个排名位，是稳的；材质/视频/图片来自商品详情层，只有 1600/1600 个排名位有详情（各类目 100~100 个，视频比例的分母就这么大，波动会很明显）。材质字段另有覆盖问题，各类目可用材质样本 69~84 个，且是关键字命中不是成分占比。department 平均覆盖 61%，缺失时用标题里的 men/women/kids 兜底，unisex 商品可能被标题误判。空白度 = 视频覆盖率 60% + 价格带宽窄 40% （各自在类目间归一化），是个启发式排序，不是收益预测。

各类目视频覆盖率（%，详情样本内）

Volleyball Clothing41Soccer & Futsal 36Cycling Clothing31Tennis Clothing29Yoga Clothing29Martial Arts Clothin28Hiking & Outdoor26Baseball Clothing24Basketball Clothing24Running Clothing22Competitive Swimwear22Golf Clothing20Ski Clothing16Gymnastics Clothing13Dance Apparel12Snowboarding Clothin8

货架空白度（越高越空）

Dance Apparel93Gymnastics Clothing84Snowboarding Clothin76Running Clothing67Competitive Swimwear66Basketball Clothing65Ski Clothing64Baseball Clothing57Martial Arts Clothin55Tennis Clothing48Cycling Clothing42Golf Clothing38Hiking & Outdoor33Yoga Clothing30Volleyball Clothing29Soccer & Futsal 20

各类目货架配置（按价格中位数升序）

材质/视频/图片的分母是「该类目已采集详情的商品数」（最后一列），不是 100；性别占比的分母是全类目，department 缺失时用标题关键字兜底。

分类P25中位价P75价格跨度 P75-P25纯棉%涤纶%尼龙%弹力%女士%男士%儿童%有视频%平均图片详情样本
Snowboarding Clothing7.999.9915.497.59.038.53.817.974.016.02.08.05.98100
Dance Apparel9.9912.9816.997.05.248.116.941.658.02.038.012.05.75100
Cycling Clothing8.9912.9917.928.937.279.77.237.761.031.04.031.05.92100
Ski Clothing8.9914.9719.9911.04.958.03.728.462.022.013.016.05.89100
Gymnastics Clothing9.9914.9818.999.010.449.426.071.415.00.084.013.05.63100
Baseball Clothing9.9914.9919.9910.016.957.116.918.244.036.012.024.05.45100
Golf Clothing11.5314.9924.9613.4313.066.211.718.245.049.02.020.05.9100
Hiking & Outdoor Recreation Clothing9.9914.9922.6112.6211.265.010.025.058.034.01.026.05.92100
Running Clothing11.5314.9920.619.089.553.619.036.964.029.06.022.05.98100
Tennis Clothing9.9914.9919.9910.015.070.07.525.050.043.02.029.05.82100
Yoga Clothing9.9916.9923.9413.958.661.721.024.769.025.05.029.05.75100
Soccer & Futsal Clothing11.5318.3426.2414.716.276.28.822.568.026.03.036.05.72100
Basketball Clothing13.7918.8724.9911.28.969.612.721.552.040.07.024.05.91100
Volleyball Clothing14.9923.4929.9915.07.683.51.329.188.09.02.041.05.63100
Martial Arts Clothing21.8529.0939.7317.888.173.08.132.452.035.012.028.05.74100
Competitive Swimwear19.9929.8238.3518.360.062.239.235.144.033.022.022.05.56100

货架特征一句话（每个类目一行）

空白度高 = 视频覆盖偏低且价格带偏窄，是「货架还没铺满」的相对信号，不等于需求存在。

分类货架特征空白度
Baseball Clothing中价主流、视频中等、价格带中等、材质以涤纶为主（57%）、女士向（44%）。57
Basketball Clothing高价溢价、视频中等、价格带窄、材质以涤纶为主（70%）、女士向（52%）。65
Cycling Clothing中价主流、视频中等、价格带中等、材质以涤纶为主（80%）、女士向（61%）。42
Dance Apparel中价主流、视频覆盖低、价格带窄、材质以涤纶为主（48%）、女士向（58%）。93
Golf Clothing中价主流、视频覆盖低、价格带中等、材质以涤纶为主（66%）、男士向（49%）。38
Gymnastics Clothing中价主流、视频覆盖低、价格带中等、材质以弹力为主（71%）、儿童向（84%）。84
Hiking & Outdoor Recreation Clothing中价主流、视频中等、价格带中等、材质以涤纶为主（65%）、女士向（58%）。33
Martial Arts Clothing高价溢价、视频中等、价格带中等、材质以涤纶为主（73%）、女士向（52%）。55
Running Clothing中价主流、视频中等、价格带中等、材质以涤纶为主（54%）、女士向（64%）。67
Ski Clothing中价主流、视频覆盖低、价格带中等、材质以涤纶为主（58%）、女士向（62%）。64
Snowboarding Clothing低价走量、视频覆盖低、价格带中等、材质以涤纶为主（38%）、女士向（74%）。76
Soccer & Futsal Clothing高价溢价、视频中等、价格带中等、材质以涤纶为主（76%）、女士向（68%）。20
Competitive Swimwear高价溢价、视频中等、价格带中等、材质以涤纶为主（62%）、女士向（44%）。66
Tennis Clothing中价主流、视频中等、价格带中等、材质以涤纶为主（70%）、女士向（50%）。48
Volleyball Clothing高价溢价、视频驱动、价格带中等、材质以涤纶为主（84%）、女士向（88%）。29
Yoga Clothing中价主流、视频中等、价格带中等、材质以涤纶为主（62%）、女士向（69%）。30

销量估算模型（自校准）不照抄第三方黑箱系数：用亚马逊自己的 "N bought in past month" 反推留评率，再用两种互相独立的估算交叉校验

榜单商品位次
1,600
本日 16 个分类的 Top 100
有销量下界的商品
965
占已采集 60.3%
实测留评率
8.22%
每卖出 100 件的评论数（池化估计）
两种估算一致度
1.46
中位比值，越接近 1 越一致
名次与销量的衰减比想象中陡第 1-10 名实测月销下界中位 2,000 件，第 91-100 名只有 500 件，相差 75%。冲进前 10 名的价值主要在这里。
实测留评率上限约 8.22%池化样本：965 个商品合计评论 +3,610，对应已知月销下界合计 1,318,250 件。换算过来大约每卖出 12 件才有一条评论，高于业界常引用的 1%~5%，也就是评论比想象中「密」。方向要说清楚：亚马逊标注的是销量下界，所以这个留评率是上限、对应的倍数 12 是下限——真实销量只会更高，不会更低。用「评论数 × 100」这种高倍数估销量会把量级压得过低。
两种独立估算的交叉校验990 个商品同时有 A/B 两个估算，评论法与排名法的中位比值 1.46（1.00 表示完全一致）；两者大致吻合，说明模型可用。
这个模型不能当事实用亚马逊只给分桶下界（如「1K+」），名次段曲线来自几百个已采集样本，留评率用池化估计掩盖了品类差异。它适合横向比大小、找机会款，不适合写进合同或当成精确销量。

各名次段实测月销量下界（中位）

1-102,00011-201,00021-301,00031-401,00041-501,00051-6070061-7060071-8050081-9060091-100500

榜单名次 → 实测月销量下界（经验曲线）

来自亚马逊自己标注的 "N bought in past month"，是下界不是精确值；括号区间是最小/最大值。名次段样本不足 3 个的段不显示。

名次段样本月销量下界中位区间
1-101092,00050~20,000
11-201001,00050~10,000
21-30991,00050~10,000
31-40991,00050~9,000
41-50971,00050~10,000
51-609370050~8,000
61-709160050~7,000
71-809950050~5,000
81-909360050~5,000
91-1008550050~5,000

估算月销量最高的商品

A 排名法用名次段实测曲线；B 评论法用实测留评率换算，只对当天评论有增长的商品可算，所以大量商品是「—」。

商品分类名次A 排名法B 评论法价格亚马逊标注
Falari Baseball Cap Adjustable Size for Running WorkBaseball Clothing12,0001,825$8.99—
ALWAYS Yoga Shorts for Women – High Waisted Workout Baseball Clothing22,000365$9.99700+ bought
NORTHYARD Men's Athletic Running Shorts Gym Workout Baseball Clothing32,0002,190$19.971K+ bought
Biker Shorts Women with Pockets - 3"/5"/8" Workout GBaseball Clothing42,0003,286$6.474K+ bought
KBETHOS Classic Unisex Cotton Adjustable Low Crown BBaseball Clothing52,0002,190$8.954K+ bought
Flexfit Men's Athletic Baseball Fitted CapBaseball Clothing62,0002,190$13.586K+ bought
LXNMGO Women's 2"/7" High Waist Yoga Shorts Tummy CoBaseball Clothing72,000—$14.991K+ bought
Leafigure 2 Pack Womens Biker Shorts with Pockets 6"Baseball Clothing82,0006,207$8.999K+ bought
VOYJOY Women Workout Impact Shorts 2.5"/ 3.6"/ 4.5"/Baseball Clothing92,0001,460$18.87300+ bought
Workout Biker Shorts for Women - 3"/5"/14" VolleybalBaseball Clothing102,000365$9.992K+ bought
Amazon Essentials Men's Fleece Open Bottom SweatpantBasketball Clothing12,0007,668$12.907K+ bought
Fruit of the Loom Eversoft Fleece Elastic Bottom SweBasketball Clothing22,0008,763$7.448K+ bought

两种估算差异最大的商品（疑似异常）

排名靠前但评论几乎不增长，常见原因是刚上架、变体合并、或长期断货。

商品名次A 排名法B 评论法提示
ALWAYS Yoga Shorts for Women – High Waisted Workou22,000365评论远低于同类名次，疑似刚上架/评论被合并
Workout Biker Shorts for Women - 3"/5"/14" Volleyb102,000365评论远低于同类名次，疑似刚上架/评论被合并
ALWAYS Yoga Shorts for Women – High Waisted Workou82,000365评论远低于同类名次，疑似刚上架/评论被合并
Jerzees Mens Dri-Power Cotton Blend Long Sleeve Te42,000365评论远低于同类名次，疑似刚上架/评论被合并
Headbands for Women 8PCS, Summer-Exclusive Elastic62,000365评论远低于同类名次，疑似刚上架/评论被合并
ALWAYS Yoga Shorts for Women – High Waisted Workou62,000365评论远低于同类名次，疑似刚上架/评论被合并
Women 5 Layers Tutu Fluffy Dance Ballet Bubble Ski72,000365评论远低于同类名次，疑似刚上架/评论被合并
Girls Tutu Skirt 3 Layers Tulle Toddler Ballet Ski82,000365评论远低于同类名次，疑似刚上架/评论被合并

分类层面估算日销与日销售额（下界）

仅统计有名次段曲线的商品位次，因此是整条榜单的下界而非全量。

分类估算商品数月销量下界日销量下界日销售额下界
Baseball Clothing10089,0002,966$46,783
Basketball Clothing10089,0002,966$56,573
Competitive Swimwear10089,0002,966$94,444
Cycling Clothing10089,0002,966$42,348
Dance Apparel10089,0002,966$39,961
Golf Clothing10089,0002,966$52,547
Gymnastics Clothing10089,0002,966$47,034
Hiking & Outdoor Recreation Clothing10089,0002,966$51,715
Martial Arts Clothing10089,0002,966$91,986
Running Clothing10089,0002,966$51,510
Ski Clothing10089,0002,966$51,235
Snowboarding Clothing10089,0002,966$36,877
Soccer & Futsal Clothing10089,0002,966$58,061
Tennis Clothing10089,0002,966$50,612
Volleyball Clothing10089,0002,966$71,610
Yoga Clothing10089,0002,966$53,845

动态面

类目热度指数换血率 + 评论增速 + 价格波动合成 0-100 热度分

Martial Arts Clothing
48
换血 35%
Competitive Swimwear
45
换血 43%
Hiking & Outdoor Recreation Clothing
42
换血 21%
Basketball Clothing
40
换血 22%
最热的类目Martial Arts Clothing（热度 48，换血 35%，评论日增中位 +2）——榜单变动快，新品有机会挤进去。
最稳的类目Snowboarding Clothing（热度 14）——榜单结构稳定，短期靠运营挤榜的难度大。

类目热度

Martial Arts Clothin48Competitive Swimwear45Hiking & Outdoor42Basketball Clothing40Gymnastics Clothing38Baseball Clothing38Running Clothing38Golf Clothing35Volleyball Clothing35Yoga Clothing35Tennis Clothing34Soccer & Futsal 32Cycling Clothing27Dance Apparel24Ski Clothing22Snowboarding Clothin14

类目热度分解（热量高=变化快）

分类热度换血率新上榜评论日增中位价格中位变动
Martial Arts Clothing47.835.0%35+2+0.0%
Competitive Swimwear45.043.0%43+0+0.0%
Hiking & Outdoor Recreation Clothing42.121.0%21+4+0.0%
Basketball Clothing40.022.0%22+4+0.0%
Gymnastics Clothing38.038.0%38+0+0.0%
Baseball Clothing37.928.0%28+2+0.0%
Running Clothing37.818.0%18+4+0.0%
Golf Clothing35.121.0%21+3+0.0%
Volleyball Clothing35.126.0%26+2+0.0%
Yoga Clothing35.011.0%11+5+0.0%
Tennis Clothing33.720.0%20+3+0.0%
Soccer & Futsal Clothing32.219.0%19+3+0.0%
Cycling Clothing27.318.0%18+2+0.0%
Dance Apparel23.923.0%23+1+0.0%
Ski Clothing22.417.0%17+2+0.0%
Snowboarding Clothing14.016.0%16+1+0.0%

评论增速（销量代理）一天涨了多少评论，反推大概卖了多少件

评论涨得最快Under Armour Men's Sportstyle Left Chest Logo （Cycling Clothing）一天新增 68 条评论，当前 47,236 条，排名第 27。
评论增长的普遍性1224 个连续两天在榜的商品里，972 个（79%）评论数在增长，238 个一天内没有变化；增长商品的中位日增是 +3 条（全体中位数是 +0，因为多数商品当天没有新评论，所以看增长商品的中位数更有意义）。
销量推算口径日均销量按「评论日增 ÷ 评论率」反推，评论率取 1%~5% 区间，所以给出的是一个范围而不是一个数——真实评论率 Amazon 不公开，这个指标只适合横向比较，不适合当绝对销量用。

评论日增 Top25（含销量粗略推算）

推算日销 = 评论日增 × 20 ~ ×100（对应 5%~1% 评论率），仅供横向比较。

商品分类排名评论日增累计评论推算日销(件)价格
Under Armour Men's Sportstyle Left Chest Logo Short-Cycling Clothing27+6847,2361,360 ~ 6,80019.60
Under Armour Men's Sportstyle Left Chest Logo Short-Golf Clothing47+6847,2361,360 ~ 6,80019.60
Under Armour Men's Sportstyle Left Chest Logo Short-Hiking & Outdoor Recreation Clothing54+6847,2361,360 ~ 6,80019.60
Under Armour Men's Sportstyle Left Chest Logo Short-Soccer & Futsal Clothing53+6847,2361,360 ~ 6,80019.60
Under Armour Men's Sportstyle Left Chest Logo Short-Tennis Clothing39+6847,2361,360 ~ 6,80019.60
Under Armour Men's Sportstyle Left Chest Logo Short-Yoga Clothing85+6847,2361,360 ~ 6,80019.60
Walifrey Joggers with Pockets, Drawstring SweatpantsBasketball Clothing4+3510,876700 ~ 3,5009.99
Walifrey Joggers with Pockets, Drawstring SweatpantsRunning Clothing12+3510,876700 ~ 3,5009.99
PURE CHAMP Sweatpants for Men 3 Pack Fleece AthleticBasketball Clothing5+2524,097500 ~ 2,50037.99
PURE CHAMP Sweatpants for Men 3 Pack Fleece AthleticRunning Clothing10+2524,097500 ~ 2,50037.99
Fruit of the Loom Eversoft Fleece Elastic Bottom SweBasketball Clothing2+2472,258480 ~ 2,4007.44
Fruit of the Loom Eversoft Fleece Elastic Bottom SweRunning Clothing2+2472,258480 ~ 2,4007.44
ROXUN Arm Sleeves Cooling UV Sun Protection Sport CoRunning Clothing30+2415,381480 ~ 2,4009.99
SINOPHANT High Waisted Leggings Women with Pockets |Yoga Clothing1+2415,059480 ~ 2,4006.39
YUDSUD High Waisted Leggings for Women - Tummy ContrCycling Clothing2+2211,608440 ~ 2,2006.99
JUKMO Men's Stretch Tactical Belt, 1.5" Elastic NyloGolf Clothing25+2214,572440 ~ 2,20014.98
Copper Compression Socks 15-20 mmHg for Men & Women Hiking & Outdoor Recreation Clothing9+2241,748440 ~ 2,20019.98
PINSPARK 2 Piece Sets for Women 1/2 Zip Sweatsuit 20Martial Arts Clothing1+222,185440 ~ 2,20041.63
musesox Compression Socks for Women and Men,15-20 mmRunning Clothing39+221,739440 ~ 2,20014.99
PINSPARK 2 Piece Sets for Women 1/2 Zip Sweatsuit 20Soccer & Futsal Clothing5+222,185440 ~ 2,20041.63
PINSPARK 2 Piece Sets for Women 1/2 Zip Sweatsuit 20Tennis Clothing2+222,185440 ~ 2,20041.63
PINSPARK 2 Piece Sets for Women 1/2 Zip Sweatsuit 20Volleyball Clothing4+222,185440 ~ 2,20041.63
YUDSUD High Waisted Leggings for Women - Tummy ContrYoga Clothing83+2211,608440 ~ 2,2007.25
Amazon Essentials Men's Fleece Open Bottom SweatpantBasketball Clothing1+2163,795420 ~ 2,10012.90
Amazon Essentials Men's Fleece Open Bottom SweatpantRunning Clothing1+2163,795420 ~ 2,10012.90

各类目评论日增中位数

分类评论日增中位累计评论中位样本
Yoga Clothing+53,87089
Hiking & Outdoor Recreation Clothing+43,69279
Running Clothing+46,68282
Basketball Clothing+43,10878
Golf Clothing+32,86379
Soccer & Futsal Clothing+33,31381
Tennis Clothing+33,22080
Cycling Clothing+22,37882
Baseball Clothing+23,63472
Martial Arts Clothing+21,05565
Ski Clothing+22,98183
Volleyball Clothing+283274
Dance Apparel+11,08077
Snowboarding Clothing+13,42284
Gymnastics Clothing+057762
Competitive Swimwear+083057

异常检测单日价格骤变、排名跳变、评论暴增，按严重度排序

价格骤变
82
个
本日异常汇总价格骤变 82 个，最严重的是「价格骤变」：$3.54 → $14.99（+323%）。

异常明细（严重度降序）

类型商品分类变化严重度
价格骤变adidas Mens Entrada26 Shorts Soccer - GreyBaseball Clothing$3.54 → $14.99（+323%）21.6
价格骤变Capezio Girls' Cotton Classic High-neck Tank LeotaGymnastics Clothing$3.32 → $13.69（+312%）20.8
价格骤变Fruit of the Loom Eversoft Fleece Elastic Bottom SBasketball Clothing$24.99 → $7.44（-70%）4.7
价格骤变Fruit of the Loom Eversoft Fleece Elastic Bottom SRunning Clothing$24.99 → $7.44（-70%）4.7
价格骤变Libin Women's Joggers Pants Athletic Casual SweatpDance Apparel$27.98 → $43.06（+54%）3.6
价格骤变MAGCOMSEN Women's Long Sleeve Shirts UPF 50+ Sun PCycling Clothing$12.99 → $19.98（+54%）3.6
价格骤变MAGCOMSEN Women's Long Sleeve Shirts UPF 50+ Sun PGolf Clothing$12.99 → $19.98（+54%）3.6
价格骤变MAGCOMSEN Women's Long Sleeve Shirts UPF 50+ Sun PHiking & Outdoor Recreation Clothing$12.99 → $19.98（+54%）3.6
价格骤变MAGCOMSEN Women's Long Sleeve Shirts UPF 50+ Sun PSoccer & Futsal Clothing$12.99 → $19.98（+54%）3.6
价格骤变MAGCOMSEN Women's Long Sleeve Shirts UPF 50+ Sun PTennis Clothing$12.99 → $19.98（+54%）3.6
价格骤变MAGCOMSEN Women's Long Sleeve Shirts UPF 50+ Sun PYoga Clothing$12.99 → $19.98（+54%）3.6
价格骤变Desol Sweatshirts for Women Crewneck Fall Outfits Volleyball Clothing$9.98 → $14.99（+50%）3.3
价格骤变Sequin Skirt Sparkly Skirt Belly Dance Skirt GlittDance Apparel$9.99 → $14.99（+50%）3.3
价格骤变Sarfel Tutus for Women 5 Layered Adult Tutu SkirtsDance Apparel$9.99 → $14.99（+50%）3.3
价格骤变Rolimaka Boys Thermal Underwear Set Fleece Lined CSki Clothing$9.99 → $14.99（+50%）3.3
价格骤变Amazon Essentials Women's Active FormFlex Buttery Martial Arts Clothing$20.06 → $29.20（+46%）3.0
价格骤变GAYHAY Joggers for Women with Pockets - Womens SweBasketball Clothing$6.39 → $8.99（+41%）2.7
价格骤变adidas Mens Dayready Open Hem Tracksuit Bottoms CaBasketball Clothing$22.95 → $31.50（+37%）2.5
价格骤变adidas Mens Dayready Open Hem Tracksuit Bottoms CaMartial Arts Clothing$22.95 → $31.50（+37%）2.5
价格骤变adidas Mens Dayready Open Hem Tracksuit Bottoms CaRunning Clothing$22.95 → $31.50（+37%）2.5
价格骤变adidas Mens Dayready Open Hem Tracksuit Bottoms CaSoccer & Futsal Clothing$22.95 → $31.50（+37%）2.5
价格骤变Ekoauer Long Sleeve Shirts for Women Cotton Crew NSki Clothing$9.99 → $13.49（+35%）2.3
价格骤变Men's Baggy Fleece Cargo Sweatpants Loose Casual JBasketball Clothing$13.48 → $17.98（+33%）2.2
价格骤变Arshiner Girls Thermal Underwear Set Long Johns CoSki Clothing$13.49 → $17.99（+33%）2.2
价格骤变AUTOMET Women's Straight Leg Sweatpants Fleece LouBasketball Clothing$14.99 → $19.99（+33%）2.2
价格骤变Tutus for Women Adult Tutu Skirts for Women 5 LayeDance Apparel$14.99 → $19.99（+33%）2.2
价格骤变AUTOMET Women's Straight Leg Sweatpants Fleece LouRunning Clothing$14.99 → $19.99（+33%）2.2
价格骤变EFAN Mens Oversized Fleece Crewneck Sweatshirt LonVolleyball Clothing$14.99 → $19.99（+33%）2.2
价格骤变PINSPARK Soft Workout Tops for Women Short Sleeve Cycling Clothing$9.99 → $12.99（+30%）2.0
价格骤变PINSPARK Soft Workout Tops for Women Short Sleeve Golf Clothing$9.99 → $12.99（+30%）2.0

品牌攻防固定同一批商品比较排名质量：谁在往上抢席位，谁在往下掉

可比商品
1224
两天都识别出品牌
有变化品牌
354
共 389 个品牌
新进榜商品
347
185 个品牌
抢位最猛PINSPARK：60 个在榜商品权重分 4,060 → 4,188（+128，相对 +3.2%），Top20 席位 +1。
失位最多Under Armour：30 个在榜商品权重分 1,718 → 1,636（-82，相对 -4.8%）。
真·新进榜品牌PINSPARK（21 个商品）、G Gradual（16 个商品）、Speedo（9 个商品）、Fisoew（8 个商品）、SUPRNOWA（7 个商品）、CRZ YOGA（7 个商品）、ARENA（7 个商品）、Zengjo（5 个商品），共 347 个新商品。
口径说明只统计「两天都识别出品牌」的同一批 1224 个商品；权重分 = Σ(101-排名)，越高说明该品牌占的位置越好。另有 0 个排名位尚未采集到品牌，不计入。

品牌排名质量变动（按权重分变化绝对值排序）

只比较两天都识别出品牌的同一批商品，避免详情采集进度造成虚假增减。

品牌在榜商品今日权重分变动相对变化Top20 席位Top50 席位今日中位价价格变动
PINSPARK604,188+128+3.2%+1+310.17+0.18
MAGCOMSEN352,093+83+4.1%+0+112.99+0.00
Under Armour301,636-82-4.8%+0-124.98-0.02
G Gradual331,722-80-4.4%-1-119.54-0.44
adidas372,205-77-3.4%-2+017.50-0.74
CHOK.LIDS7390+73+23.0%+0+014.99+0.00
FURTALK10386-73-15.9%+0-111.99+0.00
ZOORON6411+56+15.8%+1+17.19+0.00
Soothfeel5215-47-17.9%+0-116.99+0.00
Trendy Queen241,397+44+3.3%+1-224.99+0.00
PRETTYGARDEN151,021+41+4.2%+0+122.99+0.00
THINDUST388-40-31.2%+0+014.99+0.00
Tough Headwear5198-37-15.7%+0+016.99+0.00
Century Star5303+35+13.1%+1+16.99+0.00
Stelle191,018-34-3.2%+0+016.98+1.99
American Trends277+33+75.0%+0+116.49+1.00
Wmcaps3164-33-16.8%+0+09.99+0.00
XIEERDUO8223-32-12.5%+0+08.47+0.00
Capezio5268+31+13.1%+0+018.00+0.00
NPQQUAN9516+30+6.2%+0-17.95+0.00
Merino.tech227-30-52.6%+0+074.49-5.00
Haloumoning9475+29+6.5%+0+08.99+0.00
Yasumond2104+29+38.7%+0+039.99+0.00
NNCEVM2106+29+37.7%+0+011.99+2.00
Sporti4182+29+19.0%+0+028.97+0.00

价格带迁移商品在价格带之间怎么流动，哪个带在吸货

留在原带
1161
95%
涨价带
44
个
降价带
19
个
价格带流动性1224 个可比商品中 1161 个（95%）留在原价格带，44 个涨带、19 个降带。
吸货/失血的价位15-20 美元带净流入 +15 个商品，<10 美元带净流出 -12 个。

价格带流向 Top15

迁移商品数
10-15 → 15-2019
<10 → 10-1517
15-20 → 10-158
20-30 → 30-507
20-30 → 15-205
10-15 → <103
20-30 → <102
30-50 → 20-301
15-20 → 20-301

各价格带净流入

价格带净流入
15-20+15
30-50+6
10-15+3
<10-12
20-30-12

跨带幅度最大

商品分类价格幅度排名
adidas Mens Entrada26 Shorts Soccer - GreyBaseball Clothing3.54 → 14.99+323%50
Capezio Girls' Cotton Classic High-neck Tank LeotaGymnastics Clothing3.32 → 13.69+312%40
Fruit of the Loom Eversoft Fleece Elastic Bottom SBasketball Clothing24.99 → 7.44-70%2
Fruit of the Loom Eversoft Fleece Elastic Bottom SRunning Clothing24.99 → 7.44-70%2
Libin Women's Joggers Pants Athletic Casual SweatpDance Apparel27.98 → 43.06+54%11
MAGCOMSEN Women's Long Sleeve Shirts UPF 50+ Sun PCycling Clothing12.99 → 19.98+54%1
MAGCOMSEN Women's Long Sleeve Shirts UPF 50+ Sun PGolf Clothing12.99 → 19.98+54%6
MAGCOMSEN Women's Long Sleeve Shirts UPF 50+ Sun PHiking & Outdoor Recreation Clothing12.99 → 19.98+54%7
MAGCOMSEN Women's Long Sleeve Shirts UPF 50+ Sun PSoccer & Futsal Clothing12.99 → 19.98+54%6
MAGCOMSEN Women's Long Sleeve Shirts UPF 50+ Sun PTennis Clothing12.99 → 19.98+54%3
MAGCOMSEN Women's Long Sleeve Shirts UPF 50+ Sun PYoga Clothing12.99 → 19.98+54%10
Desol Sweatshirts for Women Crewneck Fall Outfits Volleyball Clothing9.98 → 14.99+50%49
Sequin Skirt Sparkly Skirt Belly Dance Skirt GlittDance Apparel9.99 → 14.99+50%28
Sarfel Tutus for Women 5 Layered Adult Tutu SkirtsDance Apparel9.99 → 14.99+50%92
Rolimaka Boys Thermal Underwear Set Fleece Lined CSki Clothing9.99 → 14.99+50%41

机会缺口评论涨得快 + 排名在升 + 价格低于类目中位 = 潜力款候选

综合分最高Under Armour Men's Sportstyle Left Chest Logo （Soccer & Futsal Clothing）得分 70.0：评论 +68，排名 51→53，价格 $19.60。
评分口径提醒这是启发式打分（评论增速 45% + 排名上升 30% + 低于类目均价 15% + 评分 10%），用于缩小人工复核范围，不是销量预测。

潜力款候选 Top20

商品分类综合分排名排名变动评论日增价格评分入选理由
Under Armour Men's Sportstyle Left Chest Logo ShSoccer & Futsal Clothing70.053-2+6819.604.6评论+68、低于类目均价、评分≥4.3
PINSPARK Workout Tops for Women Long Sleeve ShirYoga Clothing57.032+35+38.494.4评论+3、排名升35、低于类目均价、评分≥4.3
Under Armour Men's Sportstyle Left Chest Logo ShCycling Clothing55.027-1+6819.604.6评论+68、评分≥4.3
Under Armour Men's Sportstyle Left Chest Logo ShGolf Clothing55.047-4+6819.604.6评论+68、评分≥4.3
Under Armour Men's Sportstyle Left Chest Logo ShHiking & Outdoor Recreation Clothing55.054-5+6819.604.6评论+68、评分≥4.3
Under Armour Men's Sportstyle Left Chest Logo ShTennis Clothing55.039-6+6819.604.6评论+68、评分≥4.3
Under Armour Men's Sportstyle Left Chest Logo ShYoga Clothing55.085-10+6819.604.6评论+68、评分≥4.3
Walifrey Joggers with Pockets, Drawstring SweatpBasketball Clothing48.24-1+359.994.4评论+35、低于类目均价、评分≥4.3
Walifrey Joggers with Pockets, Drawstring SweatpRunning Clothing48.212-3+359.994.4评论+35、低于类目均价、评分≥4.3
AIYUE Women Men Wool French Beret Solid Color WaSnowboarding Clothing46.470+2507.784.4排名升25、低于类目均价、评分≥4.3
Haloumoning Girls Athletic Shorts Kids High WaisRunning Clothing46.069+16+118.994.5评论+11、排名升16、低于类目均价、评分≥4.3
MAGCOMSEN Long Sleeve Sun Shirts for Women QuickCycling Clothing45.674+2409.994.3排名升24、低于类目均价、评分≥4.3
PINSPARK Workout Tops for Women Long Sleeve ShirSoccer & Futsal Clothing45.024+21+38.494.4评论+3、排名升21、低于类目均价、评分≥4.3
ONUPGO Head Ties Headband for Men Women, AdjustaCycling Clothing43.960+2208.994.5排名升22、低于类目均价、评分≥4.3
American Trends 2T-5T Toddler Thermal Underwear Ski Clothing43.945+22015.994.7排名升22、低于类目均价、评分≥4.3
Beanie for Men Women Yellow Beanie Embroidered KSki Clothing43.964+22011.994.6排名升22、低于类目均价、评分≥4.3
Sporti Women's Athletic Lifeguard One Piece SwimCompetitive Swimwear43.060+21030.954.6排名升21、低于类目均价、评分≥4.3
Zaclotre Girls Gymnastics Leotards Crisscross BaGymnastics Clothing42.151+2006.994.7排名升20、低于类目均价、评分≥4.3
6 Pack Copper Compression Socks for Women and MeSki Clothing41.638+7+1616.994.4评论+16、排名升7、低于类目均价、评分≥4.3
Fruit of the Loom Eversoft Fleece Elastic BottomBasketball Clothing40.920+247.444.4评论+24、低于类目均价、评分≥4.3

趋势面

排名动量最近几天的排名斜率：谁在稳步上冲，谁在滑落

样本
1746
个商品有 ≥3 天数据
上冲
982
个
滑落
731
个
上冲最快Winter Gloves Men Women Made with Graphene & 平均每天前进 31.0 名，3 天内从第 99 名到第 37 名。
滑落最快Century Star Knee High Socks for Women Long 平均每天后退 42.0 名。

排名上冲 Top20

商品分类现排名斜率累计变动天数
Winter Gloves Men Women Made with Graphene & 3M ThSnowboarding Clothing37-31.0/天-623
Trendy Queen Women’s Fleece Oversized Mock Neck SwHiking & Outdoor Recreation Clothing37-21.8/天-614
Arctix Women's Essential Insulated Ski Bibs, WaterSki Clothing24-21.5/天-433
SANTINY Women's Track Pants 28"/30"/32"/34" | StraSoccer & Futsal Clothing42-21.5/天-433
Taubow 2 Packs Gymnastics Leotards for Girls Kids Gymnastics Clothing29-20.5/天-524
Stelle Gymnastics Leotards for Girls Unitards BikeDance Apparel51-20.5/天-413
MdnMd Girls' Women's Ballet Tights Ultra Soft ConvDance Apparel38-20.0/天-614
G Gradual 28"/30"/32"/34" Inseam Women's Yoga PantYoga Clothing61-19.5/天-393
Tstiti Gymnastics Leotards for Girls Long Sleeve OGymnastics Clothing41-18.6/天-484
SANTINY Women's Track Pants 28"/30"/32"/34" | StraBasketball Clothing44-18.5/天-373
Zaclotre Kid Girls Gymnastic Leotard Sparkly ShinyGymnastics Clothing35-18.0/天-363
G Gradual Men's Fleece Lined Winter Pants with 3 ZBasketball Clothing65-17.5/天-353
G Gradual Men's Athletic Workout T-Shirts MoistureYoga Clothing48-17.0/天-343
32 Degrees Heat Women's Lightweight Baselayer CrewSki Clothing43-16.8/天-534
Under Armour Kids HeatGear Armour Short Sleeve (BiCycling Clothing58-16.5/天-333
Trendy Queen Women’s Fleece Oversized Mock Neck SwSoccer & Futsal Clothing33-16.1/天-585
Nymphperi Gymnastics Leotards for Girls Long SleevGymnastics Clothing28-15.7/天-524
LOMON Balaclava Ski Mask Sherpa Hood Fleece WinterSnowboarding Clothing62-15.5/天-313
Nymphperi Gymnastics Leotards for Girls Sparkly 2 Dance Apparel11-15.1/天-776
G Gradual Men's Athletic Workout T-Shirts MoistureHiking & Outdoor Recreation Clothing40-15.0/天-303

排名滑落 Top20

商品分类现排名斜率累计变动天数
Century Star Knee High Socks for Women Long Tube SSoccer & Futsal Clothing99+42.0/天+843
Women's Teen Adult Tutu Skirt Elastic Tulle Tutu SDance Apparel98+37.5/天+753
Mens Sweatsuit 2 Piece Fleece Hoodie Tracksuit SofMartial Arts Clothing91+35.0/天+703
Facitisu Track Suits for Women Set Sweatsuits 2 PiVolleyball Clothing88+32.0/天+643
speerise Long Sleeve Bodysuit One Piece Bodycon TuGymnastics Clothing97+29.0/天+583
OVIGILY Women's Long Sleeve Unitard Dance Costume Gymnastics Clothing96+28.0/天+563
VZV 2T-6Y Toddler Thermal Set Thermal Underwear foSki Clothing98+27.0/天+543
Zengjo Men's Ringer Tee Crewneck Athletic T ShirtsCycling Clothing68+26.0/天+523
Ekkovision Lifestyle Beaters, Men's Tank Tops, OrgYoga Clothing80+25.0/天+503
ZOORON Beanie for Women Men Ski Watch Cap Cuffed PHiking & Outdoor Recreation Clothing91+24.5/天+493
dioxoib Men Track Suits Sets Long Sleeve Full-zip Volleyball Clothing100+24.5/天+493
Century Star Beanie for Men Women Black Skull Cap Running Clothing97+23.0/天+463
NPJY Baseball Cap Golf Dad Hat Adjustable OriginalRunning Clothing97+23.0/天+463
LOMON Women's Low Rise Micro Mini Skirt with BuiltGolf Clothing94+23.0/天+463
ZOORON Beanie for Men Women Warm Winter Hat UnisexSnowboarding Clothing70+22.5/天+453
ZOORON Beanie for Men Women Warm Winter hat AcryliSnowboarding Clothing99+21.8/天+674
Amazon Essentials Unisex Kids and Toddlers' Long SBasketball Clothing87+21.5/天+433
Century Star Beanie for Men Women Black Skull Cap Ski Clothing100+21.1/天+905
LXNMGO Women's 2"/7" High Waist Yoga Shorts Tummy Soccer & Futsal Clothing91+20.9/天+825
PINSPARK Tennis Skirts for Women High Waisted GolfTennis Clothing94+20.9/天+654

预测

预测与自校验对明天做预测，第二天用真实结果给自己打分，命中率低就自动调阈值

累计预测
566
条
命中
288
条
命中率
51%
全部历史
预测命中率历史 566 条预测命中 288 条（51%）。命中率低于 50% 时 self_improve 会自动放宽阈值，高于 80% 时收紧。

对 2026-10-24 的预测（10 条掉榜风险 / 5 条上冲潜力）

类型商品分类置信度依据
掉榜风险CRZ YOGA Dolphin Athletic Shorts 3" | High Waistbaseball1.00排在第 97 名且比昨天后退 19 名
掉榜风险THINDUST Winter Thermal Skull Cap Warm Breathablcycling1.00排在第 97 名且比昨天后退 30 名
掉榜风险4 Pack Long Sleeve Shirts for Men - Quick Dry Mocycling1.00排在第 99 名且比昨天后退 16 名
掉榜风险Thermal Underwear Set for Kids 2 Piece Sets Baseski1.00排在第 96 名且比昨天后退 20 名
掉榜风险Ekouaer Womens Turtleneck Long Sleeve Shirts Basski1.00排在第 100 名且比昨天后退 18 名
掉榜风险Syhood Fleece Balaclava Face Mask Men | Winter Fsnowboarding1.00排在第 98 名且比昨天后退 23 名
掉榜风险Speedo Mens Swimsuit Square Leg Endurance+ Solidswimwear0.97排在第 97 名且比昨天后退 17 名
掉榜风险Stelle Girls Ballet Leotards Toddler Dance Combodance0.95排在第 98 名且比昨天后退 15 名
掉榜风险QINGLONGLIN Balaclava Ski Mask Windproof Full Fasnowboarding0.93排在第 95 名且比昨天后退 17 名
掉榜风险AUTOMET Women's Quarter Zip Oversized Sweatshirtsoccer0.93排在第 96 名且比昨天后退 16 名
上冲潜力PINSPARK Workout Tops for Women Long Sleeve Shiryoga0.90第 32 名，一天前进 35 名，评论 +3
上冲潜力PINSPARK Workout Tops for Women Long Sleeve Shirsoccer0.62第 24 名，一天前进 21 名，评论 +3
上冲潜力PINSPARK Workout Tops for Women Long Sleeve Shirhiking0.52第 25 名，一天前进 16 名，评论 +3
上冲潜力Topbuti Coins Belly Dance Hip Scarf Belt Belly Ddance0.45第 31 名，一天前进 16 名，评论 +2
上冲潜力AnotherChill Women's Low Rise Mini Skort Skirt wrunning0.41第 24 名，一天前进 17 名，评论 +1

历史命中率（逐日）

预测日条数命中命中率
2026-11-0416956%
2026-11-03161062%
2026-11-02191368%
2026-11-01252496%
2026-10-3115747%
2026-10-309778%
2026-10-2910770%
2026-10-28211676%
2026-10-2712758%
2026-10-268675%
2026-10-2510660%
2026-10-24131077%
2026-10-23151067%
2026-10-2210990%
2026-10-21341235%
2026-10-194012%
2026-10-18513263%
2026-10-171085147%
2026-10-161345138%